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Shadow economy size (% of GDP), Southeast Asia + KR/CN/JP

Estimated informal/shadow economy as % of GDP, shown as a low–high range per country (model spread).

Source: World Bank Informal Economy Database (Elgin et al. 2021) · last checked 2026-06-17

ESTIMATES, not measurements — the informal economy is unobserved; all figures are model-inferred. The bar spans the two World Bank models for 2018 (DGE and MIMIC); the tick marks their midpoint. The spread IS the uncertainty: small where data is good (Japan 10.1–10.3, Singapore 11.0–11.7), wide where it's thin — Myanmar (23.6–47.6) is the least reliable. Timor-Leste is omitted (no GDP-based shadow-economy estimate is published; its ~77% figure is informal *employment*, a different metric). Treat as orders of magnitude.

Source: World Bank Informal Economy Database (Elgin et al. 2021) · checked 2026-06-17re-designed by UndertheSEA

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